August 5, 2008
Home Prices Rise Four Straight Months - Is Anyone Listening?
Home Prices Rise Four Straight Months - Is Anyone Listening?
Amidst the gloom on Wall Street about housing someone forgot to check the stats. The National Association of Realtors® has now reported four straight months of rising housing prices, but it seems no one is listening.
According to NAR statistics, the median home price has fallen from a high of $230,200 in July 2006 to a low in February 2008 at $195,600, a drop of 15%. Since February, however, it has risen steadily every month. By May the index had risen to $208,600, up $13,000 and a full 6.6%. Another indicator, the mean home price (otherwise known as the average home price), has also shown strength and has risen from a low of $242,000 also in February of this year to $253,100, a rise of $11,100 or 4.5%. It, too, has risen every month since February of this year.
So why the crisis? Why the continual gloom and doom reports? Is this the bottom?
No one can know for sure until we all look back and can clearly define where the bottom was, but the hard data is clear. The median price has risen four straight months. The average American is out there taking advantage of bargains in their local real estate market. They are not listening to Wall Street but following their own belief that the best time to buy is when no one else is, and they are out there buying. If this keeps up, February may prove to have been the low in prices.
What do you think? Have we passed the bottom of this mess? Use our comment link below to sound off and give us your opinion. Your email address will never be published here to protect your in-box from too much mail.
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Comments on Home Prices Rise Four Straight Months - Is Anyone Listening? »
Chuchundra @ 9:46 pm
Median home prices are a pretty poor indicator of market health. An increase in median home prices can simply mean that the mix of homes being sold is trending toward the higher end. Plus, nobody should believe anything the NAR says. Volume is still way down and the Case-Shiller index is still dropping. We're a long way from the bottom. The truth is, even if we have been trending up for a few months, that's no guarantee that we're past the bottom. All real estate declines have a dead cat bounce or two in them. If history tells us anything, it's that once we hit bottom, we're going to stick there for a while before we start the real up curve again.